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Qual 382018 Utah Regional
Red221
662132.1
1452111.4
3166114.6
Blue361
4585118.4
2993115.4
3405120.3
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2782670100200400500600221361

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
662
#21
132.10.8
129.0→129.8
Auto17.2
Teleop103.5
End11.7
red by 11.8
3405
#23
120.33.0
107.4→110.4
Auto15.3
Teleop96.0
End9.7
Second
3166
#46
114.63.4
109.1→112.5
Auto18.1
Teleop84.2
End13.2
blue by 3.8
4585
#35
118.41.6
114.6→116.2
Auto16.4
Teleop92.6
End10.1
Third
1452
#34
111.43.2
96.6→99.8
Auto15.2
Teleop86.9
End12.6
blue by 4.0
2993
#44
115.41.4
110.3→111.7
Auto16.9
Teleop89.2
End6.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
15%Auto Quest oddsEarned25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed