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Red346
3243107.7
2468164.6
5461121.7
Blue128
1452111.4
841107.0
2996152.8
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions29327602004006008001,000346128

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
164.612.7
104.7117.4
Auto21.6
Teleop118.1
End22.4
red by 11.7
152.814.0
92.5106.5
Auto16.6
Teleop116.4
End22.4
Second
5461
#18
121.716.5
70.386.8
Auto16.1
Teleop92.9
End14.5
red by 10.2
1452
#34
111.417.2
64.381.4
Auto15.2
Teleop86.9
End12.6
Third
3243
#39
107.716.8
67.284.0
Auto14.7
Teleop79.2
End11.7
red by 0.7
841
#52
107.016.1
73.389.4
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
33%Auto Quest oddsEarned31%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed