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Qual 52018 Utah Regional
Red257
5071120.9
6400120.0
159122.0
Blue258
2594121.5
4598108.2
3239134.9
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2532950100200400500600257258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159
#47
122.015.8
76.3→92.1
Auto19.7
Teleop89.3
End10.0
blue by 12.9
3239
#13
134.915.4
79.9→95.3
Auto19.5
Teleop107.6
End10.3
Second
5071
#28
120.917.8
58.8→76.5
Auto15.3
Teleop94.4
End11.4
blue by 0.6
2594
#22
121.515.8
76.3→92.1
Auto14.7
Teleop95.6
End13.4
Third
6400
#17
120.017.3
62.7→80.0
Auto15.7
Teleop86.8
End17.8
red by 11.8
4598
#31
108.216.2
72.6→88.8
Auto16.4
Teleop88.5
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
28%Auto Quest oddsMissed31%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed