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Red263
3405120.3
3374138.3
192150.4
Blue415
1678206.4
968130.5
3230164.9
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2513550100200300400500600700263415

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
192
#10
150.413.2
100.2113.4
Auto18.1
Teleop116.9
End16.5
blue by 56.0
206.49.1
141.0150.1
Auto28.1
Teleop140.1
End39.9
Second
138.316.1
73.389.5
Auto16.5
Teleop109.7
End12.9
blue by 26.7
164.912.7
105.2117.9
Auto20.6
Teleop119.9
End21.2
Third
3405
#23
120.316.9
66.883.7
Auto15.3
Teleop96.0
End9.7
blue by 10.2
968
#25
130.515.9
75.691.4
Auto16.3
Teleop100.3
End11.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
32%Auto Quest oddsMissed43%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsEarned