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Qual 72018 Utah Regional
Red20
3729109.7
257695.4
5974100.9
Blue208
5493113.4
6717122.3
6844107.8
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions28725302004006008001,0001,20020208

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3729
#51
109.715.9
75.6→91.5
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End8.8
blue by 12.7
6717
#26
122.317.2
63.8→81.0
Auto14.7
Teleop89.3
End19.2
Second
5974
#36
100.917.2
64.1→81.3
Auto13.6
Teleop80.3
End4.9
blue by 12.5
5493
#45
113.416.6
68.9→85.5
Auto14.0
Teleop91.0
End6.7
Third
2576
#30
95.415.6
77.8→93.4
Auto15.1
Teleop77.1
End2.5
blue by 12.4
6844
#40
107.844.3
122.0→77.7
Auto13.4
Teleop85.1
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsMissed27%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed