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Qual 422018 Utah Regional
Red89
2972119.1
5159105.6
7151112.1
Blue291
159122.0
5461121.7
3374138.3
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions23231810020040050060089291

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2972
#15
119.14.6
106.9→111.6
Auto16.6
Teleop99.0
End2.6
blue by 19.2
3374
#8
138.36.2
116.9→123.0
Auto16.5
Teleop109.7
End12.9
Second
7151
#38
112.15.1
101.9→107.0
Auto15.5
Teleop83.0
End11.4
blue by 9.9
159
#47
122.01.4
117.9→119.4
Auto19.7
Teleop89.3
End10.0
Third
5159
#33
105.61.2
98.6→99.9
Auto13.7
Teleop80.7
End14.9
blue by 16.1
5461
#18
121.72.9
119.7→122.6
Auto16.1
Teleop92.9
End14.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
23%Auto Quest oddsMissed37%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed