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Qual 432018 Utah Regional
Red198
645798.2
968130.5
4598108.2
Blue258
1339175.1
841107.0
3200110.1
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250288100200400500198258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#25
130.55.5
119.8→125.4
Auto16.3
Teleop100.3
End11.5
blue by 44.5
1339
#2
175.18.9
142.0→150.9
Auto25.2
Teleop126.1
End24.3
Second
4598
#31
108.21.6
107.5→105.9
Auto16.4
Teleop88.5
End2.5
blue by 1.9
3200
#14
110.10.5
105.6→105.2
Auto17.6
Teleop87.4
End6.9
Third
6457
#37
98.21.8
95.6→97.4
Auto14.1
Teleop77.9
End7.5
blue by 8.8
841
#52
107.00.5
105.4→104.9
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End8.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed34%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed