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Qual 562018 Utah Regional
Red192
3006113.9
6358132.5
3405120.3
Blue396
192150.4
399158.9
5871114.0
33%Model gave it67%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions275327100200300400500192396

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6358
#32
132.52.2
128.3→130.5
Auto15.5
Teleop97.7
End19.8
blue by 26.4
399
#16
158.94.9
133.9→138.8
Auto15.5
Teleop120.9
End22.7
Second
3405
#23
120.34.4
113.8→118.2
Auto15.3
Teleop96.0
End9.7
blue by 30.1
192
#10
150.43.3
138.5→141.8
Auto18.1
Teleop116.9
End16.5
Third
3006
#48
113.91.4
115.1→116.4
Auto18.3
Teleop89.3
End2.0
blue by 0.1
5871
#41
114.00.7
111.9→111.2
Auto16.0
Teleop87.1
End11.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed