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Red228
841107.0
5493113.4
6411146.4
Blue288
3245128.7
1339175.1
1891127.2
20%Model gave it80%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions252350100200300400500600228288

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6411
#12
146.45.2
132.0137.2
Auto15.5
Teleop113.6
End20.5
blue by 28.7
175.15.8
156.9162.7
Auto25.2
Teleop126.1
End24.3
Second
5493
#45
113.41.7
109.4111.2
Auto14.0
Teleop91.0
End6.7
blue by 15.3
3245
#20
128.70.4
124.3124.7
Auto19.7
Teleop96.0
End11.7
Third
841
#52
107.00.5
104.6105.2
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End8.1
blue by 20.2
1891
#24
127.24.8
116.8121.6
Auto14.8
Teleop91.5
End22.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed39%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed