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Red251
5071120.9
4585118.4
2594121.5
Blue258
3374138.3
2468164.6
645798.2
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2303460100200300400500600251258

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2594
#22
121.51.8
116.3118.1
Auto14.7
Teleop95.6
End13.4
blue by 43.1
164.64.7
154.5159.2
Auto21.6
Teleop118.1
End22.4
Second
5071
#28
120.94.5
112.5117.0
Auto15.3
Teleop94.4
End11.4
blue by 17.4
138.34.8
127.6132.4
Auto16.5
Teleop109.7
End12.9
Third
4585
#35
118.40.9
118.7117.9
Auto16.4
Teleop92.6
End10.1
red by 20.2
6457
#37
98.21.1
98.099.0
Auto14.1
Teleop77.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
18%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed