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Red318
6546113.1
4550148.5
6400120.0
Blue302
5933131.0
4944160.6
257695.4
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions254320100200400500318302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.53.5
137.1140.6
Auto17.5
Teleop108.6
End25.2
blue by 12.1
4944
#11
160.65.0
143.1148.1
Auto15.5
Teleop124.1
End23.4
Second
6400
#17
120.00.8
114.7115.6
Auto15.7
Teleop86.8
End17.8
blue by 11.0
5933
#19
131.02.0
121.8123.7
Auto20.1
Teleop99.9
End13.8
Third
6546
#43
113.13.4
118.2114.8
Auto17.4
Teleop86.6
End9.6
red by 17.7
2576
#30
95.43.8
100.296.4
Auto15.1
Teleop77.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
26%Auto Quest oddsEarned13%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed