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Qual 632018 Utah Regional
Red189
5974100.9
1891127.2
3405120.3
Blue158
159122.0
645798.2
2972119.1
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions283277100200400500189158

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1891
#24
127.23.7
121.6→125.3
Auto14.8
Teleop91.5
End22.0
red by 5.2
159
#47
122.01.3
121.8→123.1
Auto19.7
Teleop89.3
End10.0
Second
3405
#23
120.31.9
118.2→120.1
Auto15.3
Teleop96.0
End9.7
red by 1.2
2972
#15
119.11.8
115.1→117.0
Auto16.6
Teleop99.0
End2.6
Third
5974
#36
100.90.9
103.4→102.4
Auto13.6
Teleop80.3
End4.9
red by 2.7
6457
#37
98.20.3
99.0→99.3
Auto14.1
Teleop77.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
10%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed