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Red289
6358132.5
5933131.0
3243107.7
Blue337
1339175.1
257695.4
3289126.3
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions263333100200300400500600289337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6358
#32
132.50.5
130.5131.0
Auto15.5
Teleop97.7
End19.8
blue by 42.6
175.14.3
162.7167.0
Auto25.2
Teleop126.1
End24.3
Second
5933
#19
131.02.4
123.7126.1
Auto20.1
Teleop99.9
End13.8
red by 4.7
3289
#27
126.30.8
127.5126.7
Auto16.1
Teleop95.5
End12.3
Third
3243
#39
107.72.0
103.4105.4
Auto14.7
Teleop79.2
End11.7
red by 12.3
2576
#30
95.41.3
96.495.1
Auto15.1
Teleop77.1
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed