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Qual 652018 Utah Regional
Red205
1410120.9
3225111.9
6546113.1
Blue398
4550148.5
2468164.6
434886.3
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2263480100300400500600205398

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1410
#42
120.91.3
121.3→119.9
Auto17.2
Teleop93.2
End10.5
blue by 43.6
2468
#6
164.62.5
159.2→161.7
Auto21.6
Teleop118.1
End22.4
Second
6546
#43
113.11.2
114.8→113.6
Auto17.4
Teleop86.6
End9.6
blue by 35.4
4550
#5
148.53.2
140.6→143.8
Auto17.5
Teleop108.6
End25.2
Third
3225
#49
111.90.2
112.0→111.8
Auto14.0
Teleop80.9
End16.8
red by 25.6
4348
#50
86.31.6
87.6→86.0
Auto12.8
Teleop73.4
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
22%Auto Quest oddsMissed36%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed