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Qual 662018 Utah Regional
Red263
3374138.3
7151112.1
841107.0
Blue370
6844107.8
399158.9
3166114.6
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions270304100150200250350400450500263370

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3374
#8
138.32.5
132.4→134.9
Auto16.5
Teleop109.7
End12.9
blue by 20.7
399
#16
158.95.4
138.8→144.1
Auto15.5
Teleop120.9
End22.7
Second
7151
#38
112.10.7
111.0→111.7
Auto15.5
Teleop83.0
End11.4
blue by 2.5
3166
#46
114.60.7
113.8→113.1
Auto18.1
Teleop84.2
End13.2
Third
841
#52
107.01.0
105.2→106.2
Auto15.8
Teleop86.1
End8.1
blue by 0.8
6844
#40
107.82.0
102.5→104.5
Auto13.4
Teleop85.1
End9.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
19%Auto Quest oddsMissed20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed