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Red465
6400120.0
2993115.4
968130.5
Blue205
5071120.9
3729109.7
2484115.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2812730100200400500465205

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
968
#25
130.50.3
128.9128.6
Auto16.3
Teleop100.3
End11.5
red by 9.6
5071
#28
120.92.6
117.0119.7
Auto15.3
Teleop94.4
End11.4
Second
6400
#17
120.01.4
115.6117.0
Auto15.7
Teleop86.8
End17.8
red by 4.6
2484
#29
115.41.4
118.1116.7
Auto14.8
Teleop92.5
End2.9
Third
2993
#44
115.40.1
113.0113.1
Auto16.9
Teleop89.2
End6.7
red by 5.8
3729
#51
109.70.4
110.7110.3
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
31%Auto Quest oddsEarned19%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed