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Qual 692018 Utah Regional
Red388
1678206.4
3200110.1
6411146.4
Blue307
4944160.6
3239134.9
4585118.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3642790100200400500600388307

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#1
206.46.7
186.0→192.7
Auto28.1
Teleop140.1
End39.9
red by 45.8
4944
#11
160.64.3
148.1→152.3
Auto15.5
Teleop124.1
End23.4
Second
6411
#12
146.43.9
137.2→141.1
Auto15.5
Teleop113.6
End20.5
red by 11.5
3239
#13
134.91.5
129.9→131.4
Auto19.5
Teleop107.6
End10.3
Third
3200
#14
110.11.8
106.7→108.5
Auto17.6
Teleop87.4
End6.9
blue by 8.3
4585
#35
118.40.8
117.9→117.1
Auto16.4
Teleop92.6
End10.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
74%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
14%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed