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Qual 702018 Utah Regional
Red372
192150.4
5974100.9
1339175.1
Blue225
5461121.7
3225111.9
3166114.6
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3852150100300500600372225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1339
#2
175.14.1
167.0→171.1
Auto25.2
Teleop126.1
End24.3
red by 53.4
5461
#18
121.72.5
125.4→122.9
Auto16.1
Teleop92.9
End14.5
Second
192
#10
150.44.4
141.8→146.3
Auto18.1
Teleop116.9
End16.5
red by 35.8
3166
#46
114.61.5
113.1→114.6
Auto18.1
Teleop84.2
End13.2
Third
5974
#36
100.91.5
102.4→100.9
Auto13.6
Teleop80.3
End4.9
blue by 11.0
3225
#49
111.90.1
111.8→111.9
Auto14.0
Teleop80.9
End16.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
44%Auto Quest oddsEarned17%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed