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Qual 782018 Utah Regional
Red211
3729109.7
6358132.5
1452111.4
Blue303
645798.2
6411146.4
5159105.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2493080100200400500600700800211303

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6358
#32
132.51.5
131.0→132.5
Auto15.5
Teleop97.7
End19.8
blue by 13.9
6411
#12
146.43.0
141.1→144.1
Auto15.5
Teleop113.6
End20.5
Second
1452
#34
111.43.1
108.4→111.4
Auto15.2
Teleop86.9
End12.6
red by 5.8
5159
#33
105.60.3
105.3→105.6
Auto13.7
Teleop80.7
End14.9
Third
3729
#51
109.70.7
110.3→109.7
Auto14.6
Teleop84.7
End8.8
red by 11.4
6457
#37
98.21.1
99.3→98.2
Auto14.1
Teleop77.9
End7.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
29%Auto Quest oddsMissed15%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed