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Quarterfinal 1-12018 Utah Regional
Red479
399158.9
1678206.4
1410120.9
Blue249
662132.1
6411146.4
2993115.4
93%Model gave it7%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions419258100200300500600700479249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#1
206.41.7
197.6→199.2
Auto28.1
Teleop140.1
End39.9
red by 60.0
6411
#12
146.41.2
144.1→145.3
Auto15.5
Teleop113.6
End20.5
Second
399
#16
158.91.8
149.7→151.4
Auto15.5
Teleop120.9
End22.7
red by 26.8
662
#21
132.10.1
132.0→132.1
Auto17.2
Teleop103.5
End11.7
Third
1410
#42
120.90.2
119.3→119.5
Auto17.2
Teleop93.2
End10.5
red by 5.5
2993
#44
115.40.1
115.2→115.3
Auto16.9
Teleop89.2
End6.7