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Semifinal 1-12018 Utah Regional
Red433
399158.9
1678206.4
1410120.9
Blue347
4944160.6
115147.8
1891127.2
82%Model gave it18%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions406305100200500600433347

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1678
#1
206.41.5
200.8→202.3
Auto28.1
Teleop140.1
End39.9
red by 45.8
4944
#11
160.61.1
158.4→159.5
Auto15.5
Teleop124.1
End23.4
Second
399
#16
158.91.6
153.1→154.7
Auto15.5
Teleop120.9
End22.7
red by 11.1
115
#7
147.80.9
146.1→147.0
Auto18.6
Teleop116.2
End14.4
Third
1410
#42
120.90.3
119.8→120.0
Auto17.2
Teleop93.2
End10.5
blue by 6.3
1891
#24
127.20.1
127.0→127.1
Auto14.8
Teleop91.5
End22.0