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Red378
1262184.2
346173.2
1123108.5
Blue200
384166.1
1599159.9
5279144.9
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions357354200250300400450378200

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.20.0
184.2184.2
Auto23.3
Teleop133.2
End27.8
red by 18.1
384
#4
166.10.3
165.8166.1
Auto16.3
Teleop125.3
End23.2
Second
346
#1
173.20.1
173.1173.2
Auto22.4
Teleop121.7
End30.3
red by 13.3
159.90.1
159.8159.9
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End28.3
Third
1123
#22
108.50.4
108.0108.5
Auto16.8
Teleop82.4
End12.3
blue by 36.4
5279
#27
144.90.0
144.9144.9
Auto18.3
Teleop104.1
End22.7