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Red310
1262184.2
346173.2
4466131.8
Blue293
384166.1
1599159.9
5279144.9
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions372360250300400450500310293

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.20.1
184.2184.2
Auto23.3
Teleop133.2
End27.8
red by 18.1
384
#4
166.10.4
165.4165.8
Auto16.3
Teleop125.3
End23.2
Second
346
#1
173.20.2
172.8173.1
Auto22.4
Teleop121.7
End30.3
red by 13.3
159.90.2
159.6159.8
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End28.3
Third
4466
#28
131.80.1
131.9131.8
Auto18.3
Teleop93.9
End17.6
blue by 13.1
5279
#27
144.90.1
144.9144.9
Auto18.3
Teleop104.1
End22.7