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Red342
401142.6
3274140.1
3359106.7
Blue287
1080131.6
977141.4
4505133.9
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions30932402004006008001,0001,200342287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
401
#15
142.60.2
141.9142.1
Auto19.4
Teleop106.7
End16.3
red by 1.3
977
#8
141.40.2
141.1141.4
Auto18.2
Teleop105.0
End17.7
Second
140.10.8
137.7138.5
Auto15.0
Teleop110.8
End19.2
red by 6.1
4505
#25
133.90.1
133.8133.9
Auto16.4
Teleop105.1
End13.1
Third
3359
#20
106.70.4
107.6107.3
Auto15.9
Teleop78.4
End10.0
blue by 24.9
1080
#12
131.60.3
131.3131.6
Auto17.8
Teleop96.3
End17.9