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Red353
2534158.4
2106153.2
6194130.5
Blue305
540138.2
5724152.7
3455143.4
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions354343100200300400500600700353305

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#11
158.40.3
156.9157.3
Auto18.3
Teleop118.9
End22.9
red by 5.7
152.70.2
152.4152.5
Auto17.8
Teleop115.1
End20.4
Second
153.20.4
151.7152.1
Auto18.6
Teleop113.6
End23.8
red by 9.9
3455
#14
143.40.2
142.9143.2
Auto23.6
Teleop105.5
End15.0
Third
6194
#23
130.50.1
129.9130.0
Auto17.6
Teleop94.1
End19.9
blue by 7.7
540
#17
138.20.7
136.9137.6
Auto16.5
Teleop101.1
End23.7