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Red358
384166.1
1599159.9
5279144.9
Blue268
401142.6
3274140.1
3359106.7
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions399273100200300500600358268

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#4
166.10.4
164.6165.0
Auto16.3
Teleop125.3
End23.2
red by 23.5
401
#15
142.60.3
142.1142.4
Auto19.4
Teleop106.7
End16.3
Second
159.90.2
159.1159.3
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End28.3
red by 19.8
140.10.8
138.5139.3
Auto15.0
Teleop110.8
End19.2
Third
5279
#27
144.90.1
144.7144.8
Auto18.3
Teleop104.1
End22.7
red by 38.3
3359
#20
106.70.3
107.3106.9
Auto15.9
Teleop78.4
End10.0