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Red292
4466131.8
1262184.2
619126.7
Blue382
5724152.7
5279144.9
1086151.0
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33332605001,0001,500292382

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.20.8
183.8184.6
Auto23.3
Teleop133.2
End27.8
red by 31.5
152.71.2
141.1142.4
Auto17.8
Teleop115.1
End20.4
Second
4466
#28
131.812.3
81.393.6
Auto18.3
Teleop93.9
End17.6
blue by 19.2
1086
#13
151.00.2
144.9145.1
Auto26.0
Teleop109.4
End16.1
Third
619
#19
126.70.6
118.0118.6
Auto15.7
Teleop94.9
End16.6
blue by 18.2
5279
#27
144.91.8
136.2138.0
Auto18.3
Teleop104.1
End22.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
45%Auto Quest oddsEarned74%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed