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Red210
1413148.4
1123108.5
159896.4
Blue373
540138.2
2890139.6
2106153.2
11%Model gave it89%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions237378100200300500600700210373

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.40.2
136.4136.6
Auto18.5
Teleop111.1
End18.1
blue by 4.8
153.21.3
134.5135.8
Auto18.6
Teleop113.6
End23.8
Second
1123
#22
108.50.7
109.8109.1
Auto16.8
Teleop82.4
End12.3
blue by 31.1
2890
#21
139.61.7
129.2130.9
Auto18.1
Teleop100.4
End17.6
Third
1598
#26
96.40.1
99.199.2
Auto13.9
Teleop73.0
End8.2
blue by 41.8
540
#17
138.20.9
124.7125.6
Auto16.5
Teleop101.1
End23.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
9%Auto Quest oddsMissed57%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed