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Red277
401142.6
3258152.4
3136127.0
Blue280
384166.1
3274140.1
53995.8
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions333274100200400500600277280

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3258
#10
152.41.5
139.9141.4
Auto16.4
Teleop114.5
End24.0
blue by 13.7
384
#4
166.10.9
159.3160.2
Auto16.3
Teleop125.3
End23.2
Second
401
#15
142.60.9
127.7128.6
Auto19.4
Teleop106.7
End16.3
red by 2.6
140.11.9
120.3122.2
Auto15.0
Teleop110.8
End19.2
Third
3136
#29
127.01.9
124.9126.8
Auto15.4
Teleop87.4
End24.9
red by 31.2
539
#31
95.80.0
90.090.0
Auto14.4
Teleop75.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
13%Auto Quest oddsMissed7%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed