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Red300
6802147.6
6543106.4
336197.7
Blue300
6194130.5
977141.4
3455143.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2333520100200300400500600300300

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6802
#18
147.6
Auto20.4
Teleop113.4
End17.1
red by 4.2
3455
#14
143.4
Auto23.6
Teleop105.5
End15.0
Second
6543
#24
106.4
Auto14.5
Teleop79.5
End14.2
blue by 34.9
977
#8
141.4
Auto18.2
Teleop105.0
End17.7
Third
3361
#16
97.7
Auto14.6
Teleop79.6
End5.7
blue by 32.9
6194
#23
130.5
Auto17.6
Teleop94.1
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned67%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed