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Red321
1599159.9
401142.6
619126.7
Blue301
2106153.2
4505133.9
3258152.4
38%Model gave it62%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions297339100200400500600700321301

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.91.5
151.0152.5
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End28.3
red by 6.6
153.21.7
139.5141.2
Auto18.6
Teleop113.6
End23.8
Second
401
#15
142.61.5
130.0131.5
Auto19.4
Teleop106.7
End16.3
blue by 9.8
3258
#10
152.41.1
142.4143.5
Auto16.4
Teleop114.5
End24.0
Third
619
#19
126.70.1
120.5120.3
Auto15.7
Teleop94.9
End16.6
blue by 7.2
4505
#25
133.91.0
134.2133.1
Auto16.4
Teleop105.1
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
36%Auto Quest oddsMissed42%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed