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Red163
6543106.4
3939122.5
1080131.6
Blue435
1262184.2
6194130.5
5724152.7
6%Model gave it94%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2204270100300500600700163435

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1080
#12
131.61.5
123.7125.3
Auto17.8
Teleop96.3
End17.9
blue by 52.6
184.20.8
185.6186.4
Auto23.3
Teleop133.2
End27.8
Second
3939
#30
122.50.5
120.9121.4
Auto16.2
Teleop96.2
End14.8
blue by 30.2
152.72.0
146.0148.0
Auto17.8
Teleop115.1
End20.4
Third
6543
#24
106.42.1
94.496.5
Auto14.5
Teleop79.5
End14.2
blue by 24.1
6194
#23
130.50.1
126.7126.6
Auto17.6
Teleop94.1
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
24%Auto Quest oddsMissed84%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed4%Face the Boss oddsMissed