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Red255
4466131.8
540138.2
384166.1
Blue287
6802147.6
2106153.2
619126.7
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31732502004006008001,0001,200255287

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
384
#4
166.10.1
161.3161.2
Auto16.3
Teleop125.3
End23.2
red by 12.9
153.21.4
141.2142.6
Auto18.6
Teleop113.6
End23.8
Second
540
#17
138.20.9
128.3129.2
Auto16.5
Teleop101.1
End23.7
blue by 9.3
6802
#18
147.60.4
144.7145.1
Auto20.4
Teleop113.4
End17.1
Third
4466
#28
131.83.9
116.9120.8
Auto18.3
Teleop93.9
End17.6
red by 5.1
619
#19
126.70.0
120.3120.3
Auto15.7
Teleop94.9
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
66%Auto Quest oddsMissed25%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsEarned3%Face the Boss oddsMissed