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Red240
3359106.7
1599159.9
6194130.5
Blue228
6543106.4
53995.8
977141.4
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3402520100200300400500600700240228

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.91.4
152.5153.9
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End28.3
red by 18.5
977
#8
141.41.3
132.9134.2
Auto18.2
Teleop105.0
End17.7
Second
6194
#23
130.50.3
126.6126.9
Auto17.6
Teleop94.1
End19.9
red by 24.1
6543
#24
106.41.4
96.597.9
Auto14.5
Teleop79.5
End14.2
Third
3359
#20
106.70.3
106.1105.7
Auto15.9
Teleop78.4
End10.0
red by 10.8
539
#31
95.80.8
92.693.4
Auto14.4
Teleop75.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsMissed28%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed