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Red260
5279144.9
1123108.5
1080131.6
Blue441
1086151.0
3274140.1
4505133.9
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793400100200400500600700260441

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
5279
#27
144.90.2
144.3144.4
Auto18.3
Teleop104.1
End22.7
blue by 6.1
1086
#13
151.00.4
145.8145.4
Auto26.0
Teleop109.4
End16.1
Second
1080
#12
131.60.9
125.3126.2
Auto17.8
Teleop96.3
End17.9
blue by 8.5
140.10.8
125.4126.2
Auto15.0
Teleop110.8
End19.2
Third
1123
#22
108.50.5
107.0106.5
Auto16.8
Teleop82.4
End12.3
blue by 25.4
4505
#25
133.90.7
133.1132.4
Auto16.4
Teleop105.1
End13.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned32%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed