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Red361
1413148.4
1599159.9
6802147.6
Blue273
619126.7
540138.2
3939122.5
89%Model gave it11%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions403244100200300500600700361273

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.90.8
153.9154.6
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End28.3
red by 21.6
540
#17
138.20.8
129.2130.0
Auto16.5
Teleop101.1
End23.7
Second
148.42.0
139.9141.9
Auto18.5
Teleop111.1
End18.1
red by 21.7
619
#19
126.70.0
120.3120.4
Auto15.7
Teleop94.9
End16.6
Third
6802
#18
147.60.4
145.1145.4
Auto20.4
Teleop113.4
End17.1
red by 25.1
3939
#30
122.50.3
121.6121.3
Auto16.2
Teleop96.2
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
42%Auto Quest oddsEarned20%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed