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Red382
1262184.2
1086151.0
1123108.5
Blue174
3258152.4
159896.4
4505133.9
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3592850100200400500600382174

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.20.6
187.4186.8
Auto23.3
Teleop133.2
End27.8
red by 31.8
3258
#10
152.41.7
144.5146.1
Auto16.4
Teleop114.5
End24.0
Second
1086
#13
151.00.4
145.4145.8
Auto26.0
Teleop109.4
End16.1
red by 17.1
4505
#25
133.90.2
132.4132.6
Auto16.4
Teleop105.1
End13.1
Third
1123
#22
108.50.2
106.5106.2
Auto16.8
Teleop82.4
End12.3
red by 12.0
1598
#26
96.40.6
97.598.1
Auto13.9
Teleop73.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
65%Auto Quest oddsEarned26%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed