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Red305
401142.6
1080131.6
1413148.4
Blue302
2534158.4
1599159.9
2890139.6
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3193680100200500600700800305302

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
148.41.8
141.9143.7
Auto18.5
Teleop111.1
End18.1
blue by 11.5
159.90.9
154.6155.5
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End28.3
Second
401
#15
142.62.5
134.6137.1
Auto19.4
Teleop106.7
End16.3
blue by 15.7
2534
#11
158.41.1
152.7153.7
Auto18.3
Teleop118.9
End22.9
Third
1080
#12
131.60.6
127.1127.7
Auto17.8
Teleop96.3
End17.9
blue by 8.1
2890
#21
139.61.0
134.9135.9
Auto18.1
Teleop100.4
End17.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
39%Auto Quest oddsEarned83%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsEarned