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Red394
540138.2
346173.2
6543106.4
Blue191
3455143.4
5724152.7
159896.4
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions345324150200250300400450500550394191

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
346
#1
173.21.4
166.3167.7
Auto22.4
Teleop121.7
End30.3
red by 20.5
152.71.2
151.1152.4
Auto17.8
Teleop115.1
End20.4
Second
540
#17
138.21.0
130.0131.0
Auto16.5
Teleop101.1
End23.7
blue by 5.1
3455
#14
143.41.0
141.9142.9
Auto23.6
Teleop105.5
End15.0
Third
6543
#24
106.42.0
99.2101.2
Auto14.5
Teleop79.5
End14.2
red by 10.0
1598
#26
96.40.3
98.198.4
Auto13.9
Teleop73.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
56%Auto Quest oddsMissed63%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
5%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed