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Red322
977141.4
3939122.5
1086151.0
Blue360
619126.7
3136127.0
4466131.8
73%Model gave it27%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3422700100200300400500600322360

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#13
151.00.7
145.8146.5
Auto26.0
Teleop109.4
End16.1
red by 19.2
4466
#28
131.81.2
123.4124.6
Auto18.3
Teleop93.9
End17.6
Second
977
#8
141.41.2
135.3136.4
Auto18.2
Teleop105.0
End17.7
red by 14.3
3136
#29
127.00.4
126.5126.1
Auto15.4
Teleop87.4
End24.9
Third
3939
#30
122.50.2
121.3121.4
Auto16.2
Teleop96.2
End14.8
blue by 4.2
619
#19
126.70.4
120.4120.8
Auto15.7
Teleop94.9
End16.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
46%Auto Quest oddsEarned11%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
2%Face the Boss oddsMissed7%Face the Boss oddsMissed