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Red253
5279144.9
6194130.5
2534158.4
Blue362
2106153.2
1123108.5
1599159.9
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions338323100200400500600700253362

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#11
158.40.6
153.7154.4
Auto18.3
Teleop118.9
End22.9
blue by 1.5
159.90.5
155.5156.0
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End28.3
Second
5279
#27
144.90.1
144.7144.8
Auto18.3
Teleop104.1
End22.7
blue by 8.3
153.21.5
143.8145.4
Auto18.6
Teleop113.6
End23.8
Third
6194
#23
130.50.7
127.4128.1
Auto17.6
Teleop94.1
End19.9
red by 22.1
1123
#22
108.50.1
106.4106.4
Auto16.8
Teleop82.4
End12.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
57%Auto Quest oddsEarned37%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed6%Face the Boss oddsEarned