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Red244
159896.4
3455143.4
4466131.8
Blue367
4505133.9
1080131.6
540138.2
28%Model gave it72%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2793600100200400500600244367

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3455
#14
143.40.4
142.9142.5
Auto23.6
Teleop105.5
End15.0
red by 5.1
540
#17
138.21.3
131.0132.3
Auto16.5
Teleop101.1
End23.7
Second
4466
#28
131.82.6
124.6127.2
Auto18.3
Teleop93.9
End17.6
blue by 2.1
4505
#25
133.90.4
132.4132.0
Auto16.4
Teleop105.1
End13.1
Third
1598
#26
96.40.9
98.497.5
Auto13.9
Teleop73.0
End8.2
blue by 35.1
1080
#12
131.60.3
127.7128.0
Auto17.8
Teleop96.3
End17.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
59%Auto Quest oddsEarned47%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed