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Red379
2534158.4
3274140.1
1123108.5
Blue326
1599159.9
4466131.8
3939122.5
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions322315200250300350400450379326

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2534
#11
158.40.3
154.4154.6
Auto18.3
Teleop118.9
End22.9
blue by 1.5
159.90.9
156.0156.9
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End28.3
Second
140.11.8
131.2133.0
Auto15.0
Teleop110.8
End19.2
red by 8.2
4466
#28
131.81.5
127.2128.7
Auto18.3
Teleop93.9
End17.6
Third
1123
#22
108.50.3
107.0107.3
Auto16.8
Teleop82.4
End12.3
blue by 14.0
3939
#30
122.50.1
121.9121.8
Auto16.2
Teleop96.2
End14.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
37%Auto Quest oddsEarned50%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed9%Face the Boss oddsEarned