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Red400
619126.7
1080131.6
3258152.4
Blue295
5279144.9
6802147.6
159896.4
83%Model gave it17%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions376265100200300500600400295

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3258
#10
152.41.3
149.0150.3
Auto16.4
Teleop114.5
End24.0
red by 4.9
6802
#18
147.60.2
146.1146.3
Auto20.4
Teleop113.4
End17.1
Second
1080
#12
131.61.0
128.7129.7
Auto17.8
Teleop96.3
End17.9
blue by 13.4
5279
#27
144.90.4
144.9144.6
Auto18.3
Teleop104.1
End22.7
Third
619
#19
126.71.4
123.3124.7
Auto15.7
Teleop94.9
End16.6
red by 30.3
1598
#26
96.40.4
96.796.3
Auto13.9
Teleop73.0
End8.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
30%Auto Quest oddsEarned38%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed