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Red301
4466131.8
3359106.7
53995.8
Blue397
336197.7
3455143.4
2534158.4
18%Model gave it82%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2453540100200300400500301397

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4466
#28
131.82.1
128.7130.8
Auto18.3
Teleop93.9
End17.6
blue by 26.6
2534
#11
158.40.8
154.6155.4
Auto18.3
Teleop118.9
End22.9
Second
3359
#20
106.70.1
107.7107.8
Auto15.9
Teleop78.4
End10.0
blue by 36.7
3455
#14
143.40.1
142.0142.1
Auto23.6
Teleop105.5
End15.0
Third
539
#31
95.80.3
95.195.4
Auto14.4
Teleop75.0
End8.8
blue by 1.8
3361
#16
97.70.6
95.996.4
Auto14.6
Teleop79.6
End5.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
40%Auto Quest oddsEarned85%Auto Quest oddsEarned
Face the Boss
6%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed