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Red341
540138.2
1086151.0
1413148.4
Blue374
6194130.5
384166.1
401142.6
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions328367100200400500600700341374

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1086
#13
151.01.1
148.2149.3
Auto26.0
Teleop109.4
End16.1
blue by 15.1
384
#4
166.10.8
162.2163.0
Auto16.3
Teleop125.3
End23.2
Second
148.40.6
146.7147.4
Auto18.5
Teleop111.1
End18.1
red by 5.8
401
#15
142.60.9
140.0140.9
Auto19.4
Teleop106.7
End16.3
Third
540
#17
138.21.6
133.8135.4
Auto16.5
Teleop101.1
End23.7
red by 7.7
6194
#23
130.50.7
128.5129.2
Auto17.6
Teleop94.1
End19.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
68%Auto Quest oddsEarned48%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
3%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed