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Red103
4466131.8
2890139.6
3359106.7
Blue400
384166.1
6543106.4
3136127.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions3133480100200400500600103400

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2890
#21
139.61.3
138.9140.2
Auto18.1
Teleop100.4
End17.6
blue by 26.5
384
#4
166.10.8
163.0163.7
Auto16.3
Teleop125.3
End23.2
Second
4466
#28
131.81.8
130.8132.6
Auto18.3
Teleop93.9
End17.6
red by 4.8
3136
#29
127.00.5
126.5127.0
Auto15.4
Teleop87.4
End24.9
Third
3359
#20
106.70.3
107.8108.1
Auto15.9
Teleop78.4
End10.0
red by 0.2
6543
#24
106.40.3
106.1106.4
Auto14.5
Teleop79.5
End14.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
79%Auto Quest oddsMissed29%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
7%Face the Boss oddsMissed5%Face the Boss oddsMissed