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Red342
159896.4
977141.4
1599159.9
Blue226
53995.8
619126.7
5279144.9
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions334302100200400500600342226

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
159.90.5
158.3158.8
Auto19.0
Teleop112.8
End28.3
red by 15.0
5279
#27
144.90.1
144.6144.7
Auto18.3
Teleop104.1
End22.7
Second
977
#8
141.41.1
139.7140.8
Auto18.2
Teleop105.0
End17.7
red by 14.7
619
#19
126.71.4
124.7126.1
Auto15.7
Teleop94.9
End16.6
Third
1598
#26
96.40.1
96.396.4
Auto13.9
Teleop73.0
End8.2
red by 0.6
539
#31
95.80.4
95.495.8
Auto14.4
Teleop75.0
End8.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
53%Auto Quest oddsEarned41%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
8%Face the Boss oddsMissed2%Face the Boss oddsMissed