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Red444
1629179.7
225196.8
3793115.2
Blue249
2849125.4
2199143.3
1111144.7
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions414258100200300500600700444249

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
225
#1
196.81.0
190.8191.8
Auto24.7
Teleop144.7
End28.2
red by 52.1
1111
#17
144.70.4
145.4145.1
Auto17.2
Teleop110.0
End14.5
Second
179.70.5
176.3176.8
Auto24.4
Teleop131.9
End22.8
red by 36.4
2199
#13
143.30.4
142.6142.9
Auto21.2
Teleop112.1
End7.6
Third
3793
#31
115.20.0
115.0114.9
Auto18.0
Teleop88.0
End7.7
blue by 10.3
2849
#18
125.40.4
124.7125.1
Auto18.4
Teleop94.8
End11.7