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Red216
1731184.0
5830109.6
290093.0
Blue278
4638105.4
2199143.3
1885156.2
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions285318100200400500600216278

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
184.01.6
180.0181.6
Auto22.9
Teleop142.5
End20.1
red by 27.8
156.21.9
152.6154.4
Auto17.0
Teleop118.1
End20.2
Second
5830
#19
109.60.7
108.9109.6
Auto12.2
Teleop91.8
End7.9
blue by 33.7
2199
#13
143.32.6
140.0142.6
Auto21.2
Teleop112.1
End7.6
Third
2900
#35
93.00.9
92.093.0
Auto14.9
Teleop71.4
End11.7
blue by 12.4
4638
#32
105.40.3
105.1105.4
Auto13.6
Teleop80.1
End9.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto Quest
20%Auto Quest oddsMissed44%Auto Quest oddsMissed
Face the Boss
4%Face the Boss oddsMissed3%Face the Boss oddsMissed